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Brazil General Elections 2026

📅 2026-10-04 · J-138UPCOMINGPRIORITY 4 — HIGH

WHAT'S AT STAKE

Brazilian general elections.

328
ITEMS DETECTED
0
PUBLISHED SIGNALS
30
EVENTS
10
ACTORS TRACKED

VELOCITY TRACKER

HOT
STATE
51.3
INTENSITY SCORE
0.43
VELOCITY RATIO
7
ITEMS 7D
VELOCITY (HISTORY)
05-12ratio = vol_7d / (vol_30d / 4.3)05-19
INTENSITY SCORE (HISTORY)
05-120–10005-19
5-COMPONENT BREAKDOWN
Volume (15%)
43%
Velocity (30%)
47%
Coordination (30%)
56%
Amplifiers (15%)
61%
Alerts (10%)
50%
Networks 7d:3Amplif. 7d:1Weighted alerts:0.0

THREAT BRIEF

0
THREAT SCORE
BASELINE PHASE

Election is 138 days away. Monitoring is in baseline phase: collecting reference signals before campaign intensifies.

DOMINANT NARRATIVES

Narratives will appear here once signals are published. Check back in 48 days.

📄 EXPORT BRIEF

RECENT ITEMS (100 of 328)

Lula: Trump, İran savaşına karşı olduğumu, Venezuela müdahalesini ve Filistin’deki soykırımı kınadığımı biliyor
Sputnik Turkiye · 2d
source →
SMOKERS’ CORNER: POPULISM BY DESIGN
Dawn (Pakistan) · 2d
source →
Poll shows Lula and Bolsonaro tied before Brazil’s presidential election
Al Jazeera EN · 2d
source →
The Bolsonaro Era. Neoliberalism at the Forefront
RedFish Media · 3d
source →
Au Brésil, le camp Bolsonaro éclaboussé par un nouveau scandale
RFI Afrique · 3d
source →
Au Brésil, le président Lula lance un plan pour combattre le crime organisé
Le Monde · 5d
source →
The Bolsonaro Era. Neoliberalism at the Forefront
RedFish Media · 6d
source →
Sobre o esgotamento da «democracia» brasileira e do seu defensor por excelência, o PT
Strategic Culture Foundation · 9d
source →
The Bolsonaro Era. Neoliberalism at the Forefront
RedFish Media · 9d
source →
Brésil: la Cour suprême suspend l'application d'une loi réduisant la peine de l'ex-président Bolsonaro
RFI Afrique · 9d
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Brazil judge bars law that could reduce Bolsonaro’s 27-year prison sentence
Al Jazeera · 9d
source →
Brésil : la Cour suprême suspend l'application d'une loi réduisant la peine de l’ancien président Jair Bolsonaro
Le Figaro · 9d
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Au Brésil, la Cour suprême suspend l’application d’une loi réduisant la peine de Jair Bolsonaro, en attendant un examen de sa constitutionnalité
Le Monde · 9d
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Brazil’s Lula da Silva Claims Trump Told Him He 'Won't Invade Cuba'
Breitbart · 10d
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Trump Holds 'Very Productive' Meeting with Brazil's Lula da Silva at White House
Breitbart · 11d
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Trump: Meeting with Brazilian President on Trade, Tariffs 'Went Very Well'
Breitbart · 11d
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Lula won’t sideline China or anyone in rare earths, tells Trump refining stays in Brazil
South China MP · 11d
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Brazil’s Lula: Trump indicated he won’t invade Cuba during White House chat
The Hill · 11d
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Trump Hosts Brazil’s President Lula at White House After Months of Ups and Downs
NYT Politics · 11d
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Trump Holds Unexpected Closed Press Meeting With Brazil’s President After Years Of Public Feud
Daily Wire · 11d
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Trump: AB'ye 4 Temmuz'a kadar süre
Sputnik Turkiye · 11d
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Trump’s meeting with Brazilian president Lula goes dark
Washington Examiner · 12d
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Daily on Energy: Project Freedom rumblings, Shell earnings, and EPA reconsiders PFAS
Washington Examiner · 12d
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Après un an de guerre ouverte, Lula rencontre Trump à la Maison-Blanche
Le Temps · 12d
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Live updates: Trump, Lula avoid press; Tennessee approves GOP-friendly map
The Hill · 12d
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Trump, Lula avoid press at high stakes White House meeting
The Hill · 12d
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WATCH LIVE: Trump hosts Brazilian president at White House
Washington Examiner · 12d
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Watch live: Trump hosts Brazil’s President Lula at White House
The Hill · 12d
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The Bolsonaro Era. Neoliberalism at the Forefront
RedFish Media · 12d
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"Les États-Unis ont besoin de quelque chose de Lula": après s'être pris 50% de droits de douane en 2025, le président brésilien retourne négocier avec Trump (avec des terres rares dans sa besace)
BFMTV · 12d
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Trump to Host Brazil’s President Lula at White House After Months of Ups and Downs
NYT Politics · 12d
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Trump to host Brazilian president for talks on economy, security
The Hill · 13d
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Brazil’s Lula condemns Israel for detention of Gaza flotilla member
Arutz Sheva · 13d
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The Bolsonaro Era. Neoliberalism at the Forefront
RedFish Media · 15d
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For Pedro Sánchez, Europe Has to Leave the US’s Shadow
Jacobin · 15d
Au Brésil, une victoire pour le camp Bolsonaro et un camouflet pour Lula
Le Monde · 18d
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L’ex-président brésilien Jair Bolsonaro de retour à l'hôpital pour une opération à l'épaule
Le Figaro · 18d
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The Bolsonaro Era. Neoliberalism at the Forefront
RedFish Media · 18d
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Brezilya’da Bolsonaro kararı: Kongre, hapis cezasını düşüren yasayı kabul etti
Sputnik Turkiye · 18d
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Au Brésil, deux importants revers politiques pour le président Lula, à six mois de l’élection présidentielle
Le Monde · 18d
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Au Brésil, le Parlement ouvre la voie à une réduction de peine pour Jair Bolsonaro en annulant un veto du président Lula
Le Monde · 18d
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Brasiliens Kongress ebnet einer Strafmilderung für den inhaftierten Ex-Präsidenten Bolsonaro den Weg
NZZ · 18d
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Brazil’s Congress forces early release for jailed Bolsonaro in major blow to Lula
South China MP · 18d
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Au Brésil, Jair Bolsonaro pourrait bientôt voir sa peine réduite
Le Temps · 18d
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For Pedro Sánchez, Europe Has to Leave the US’s Shadow
Jacobin · 18d
Brazil MPs slash Bolsonaro prison term in blow to Lula
South China MP · 18d
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Brésil: feu vert du Parlement à une loi réduisant la peine de Bolsonaro, nouvelle défaite pour Lula
RFI Afrique · 18d
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Nouvelle défaite pour Lula: Feu vert du Parlement brésilien à une loi réduisant la peine de Bolsonaro
Tribune de Geneve · 19d
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Brésil: le candidat de Lula à la Cour suprême rejeté par le Sénat
RFI Afrique · 19d
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🇧🇷 Le président du #Brésil, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, a signé le décret d’entrée en vigueur de l’accord de libre-écha...
RT France Telegram · 20d
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‘Encouraging’: Global rainforest loss slows in 2025 after record year
Al Jazeera · 20d
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Brazil’s digital power grab punishes America and helps China
Washington Examiner · 21d
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The Bolsonaro Era. Neoliberalism at the Forefront
RedFish Media · 21d
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The Bolsonaro Era. Neoliberalism at the Forefront
RedFish Media · 24d
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Passe d’armes diplomatique entre le Brésil et les Etats-Unis autour de l’ancien chef du renseignement de Jair Bolsonaro
Le Monde · 25d
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Lula’s Battle for a 40-Hour Work Week
CounterPunch · 26d
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Washington Wants Its Military Base Back
Jacobin Mag · 27d
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The Bolsonaro Era. Neoliberalism at the Forefront
RedFish Media · 27d
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Lula da Silva, the President of Brazil, mocked his American counterpart's persistent requests to receive the Nobel Peace...
IRNA English (Telegram) · 27d
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📡 Brazil, Germany urge intensified diplomatic efforts to end anti-Iran war📌 Tehran, IRNA – Brazil and Germany have joi...
IRNA English (Telegram) · 28d
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Au Brésil, chez les jeunes, Lula perd du terrain au profit de Flavio Bolsonaro
Le Monde · 29d
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Chris Murphy and Tim Walz Cozy Up To Wannabe Tyrants At Communist Rally
Daily Wire · 29d
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The Landless Workers’ Movement, 30 Years After a Massacre
Jacobin · 29d
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The Left Needs an Alternative Cosmopolitanism
Jacobin · 30d
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The Bolsonaro Era. Neoliberalism at the Forefront
RedFish Media · 30d
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Brazil voices support for Spain’s stance against war in West Asia
IRNA · 30d
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⚡️ Brazil voices support for Spain’s stance against war in West Asia📌 Tehran, IRNA – Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lu...
IRNA English (Telegram) · 30d
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Le Brésil appelle le Conseil de sécurité de l’ONU à mettre fin à la « folie de la guerre » et à lever l’embargo sur Cuba
Anadolu Agency FR · 30d
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Brazil urges UN Security Council to end 'war madness,' calls for lifting of Cuba embargo
Anadolu Agency · 30d
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🗣 'Global South pays the price for wars it didn’t start' — Lula During a speech at the 1st Progressive Mobilization Mee...
Sputnik Africa (Telegram EN) · 30d
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Brazil's Lula calls on permanent members of UN Security Council to change behaviour
Al Monitor · 31d
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Spain signs deals with Brazil as Sanchez builds anti-Trump bloc
South China MP · 31d
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Espagne et Brésil renforcent leur partenariat, en ouverture du sommet des progressistes de Barcelone
RFI Afrique · 31d
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The Landless Workers’ Movement, 30 Years After a Massacre
Jacobin · 32d
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Trump ‘creating problems’ for US – Lula
RT · 32d
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The Left Needs an Alternative Cosmopolitanism
Jacobin · 33d
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Brazil’s Lula blasts Trump’s fear-based rule, calls for ‘great maturity’
South China MP · 33d
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Brazil's Lula assails Trump threats, says leaders should seek respect
Al Monitor · 33d
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The Bolsonaro Era. Neoliberalism at the Forefront
RedFish Media · 33d
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L’ex-chef du renseignement de Jair Bolsonaro, qui avait fui la justice brésilienne, a été libéré après son arrestation aux Etats-Unis
Le Monde · 33d
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L’ex-chef du renseignement de Jair Bolsonaro, fugitif de la justice brésilienne, a été libéré après son arrestation aux Etats-Unis
Le Monde · 33d
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L’ex-chef du renseignement de Jair Bolsonaro, fugitif de la justice brésilienne, a été libéré après son arrestation aux Etats-Unis
Le Monde · 33d
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Brazil’s police open a probe into presidential candidate Flavio Bolsonaro
Al Jazeera · 33d
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Trump: İran savaşı ‘sona çok yakın’, borsa ‘patlama yapacak’
Sputnik Turkiye · 34d
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King Charles sidelines Prince William as plan to forgive Harry disclosed
Geo News EN · 34d
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LNG supply shock to reshape global gas market through 2026 and beyond – OIES
Trend News (AZ) · 34d
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ITOCHU completes additional stake acquisition in Hitachi Construction Machinery
Trend News (AZ) · 34d
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Mel Gibson's Shocking Video is Just the BEGINNING - They're LOSING IT Over the Passion of Christ! (Video)
Before Its News · 34d
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SHC hears petition of retailers seeking milk price hike
ARY News · 34d
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Morning Rundown: U.S. says blockade has 'completely halted' Iran trade, FBI flags extremist group targeting minors, and MLB newcomers land huge contracts
NBC News Truthcheck · 34d
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Congress Built the Tax-Code Monster
National Review · 34d
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« Il n’y a plus d’excuse » : Bruxelles lance sa solution européenne de vérification de l’âge sur Internet
Le Figaro · 34d
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💢Le ministère russe de la Défense diffuse des images d’une mission de combat effectuée par un hélicoptère #Mi-28NM dans...
RT France Telegram · 34d
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Guerre au Moyen-Orient: Que faire face à l’explosion du prix des billets d’avion?
Tribune de Geneve · 34d
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Les prix à la consommation dopés par ceux du pétrole en mars, en hausse de 1% sur le mois
Europe 1 · 34d
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Les jeunes Français lisent de moins en moins, un constat « préoccupant », selon une étude
Le Monde · 34d
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Deux semaines après avoir franchi cette barre symbolique, le litre d'essence SP95-E10 repasse sous les 2 euros en moyenne (mais il reste 28 centimes plus cher qu'avant la guerre)
BFMTV · 34d
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"Le marché de la distribution des carburants en France est le plus compétitif d'Europe", affirme Olivier Gantois, président de l’Union française des industries pétrolières
BFMTV · 34d
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Laurent Joffrin et Pauline Delassus : un héritage familial lourd de silences et de ruptures
France Inter · 34d
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Guerre au Moyen-Orient : Israël et le Liban conviennent à Washington d'entamer des négociations directes, l'Etat hébreu refuse que la France y participe
France Info TV · 34d
source →

TIMELINE J-N

J-1492026-05-08 EVENT
Lula diz que Trump não deve interferir na eleio brasileira de 2026
Source: infomoney.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1482026-05-09 EVENT
Por que milhões deixam de votar ? Especialistas apontam indiferença e desconfiança
Source: noticias.r7.com. Language: Portuguese.
J-1482026-05-09 EVENT
Lula x Flávio : CEO da Quaest aponta os três grupos de eleitores que vão definir a eleio
Source: veja.abril.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1482026-05-09 EVENT
Lula x Flávio : um alerta que pesquisa eleitoral traz aos favoritos na disputa
Source: veja.abril.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1482026-05-09 EVENT
Tebet à TV 247 : Tarcísio tem telhado de vidro e Haddad pode vencer
Source: brasil247.com. Language: Portuguese.
J-1472026-05-10 EVENT
Por que as campanhas de Flávio e Lula estão de olho em jovens e mulheres para vencer a eleio
Source: veja.abril.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1472026-05-10 EVENT
Urna eletrônica : conheça a história e os 30 anos do equipamento
Source: g1.globo.com. Language: Portuguese.
J-1472026-05-10 EVENT
Urgente : vem aí o eleitor sintético !
Source: jc.uol.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1462026-05-11 EVENT
Candidatura Zema fracassa e não decola nem entre os mineiros
Source: brasil247.com. Language: Portuguese.
J-1462026-05-11 EVENT
CCJ coloca em votao PL que permite manifestaes políticas dentro das empresas
Source: cbn.globo.com. Language: Portuguese.
J-1462026-05-11 EVENT
TRE - PB começa a analisar pedidos de tropas federais para eleies de 2026 em cidades da PB
Source: pbagora.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1462026-05-11 EVENT
Biometria obrigatória : como a tecnologia mudou as eleies no país
Source: diariodepernambuco.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1452026-05-12 EVENT
Eleies 2026 : MP tem mais de 100 apuraes abertas por denúncias eleitorais
Source: veja.abril.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1452026-05-12 EVENT
Caso Ypê aumenta a lista de marcas no meio da polarizao do país
Source: oglobo.globo.com. Language: Portuguese.
J-1452026-05-12 EVENT
Aliado de Cícero questiona pesquisas divergentes e alerta para impacto nas eleies
Source: pbagora.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1452026-05-12 EVENT
Nunes Marques assume TSE sob clima de polarizao e desafio de garantir lisura e normalidade das eleies
Source: terra.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1452026-05-12 EVENT
Datafolha vai medir impacto de Trump , STF e Desenrola na corrida de 2026
Source: infomoney.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1452026-05-12 EVENT
Alabama busca fim de distrito eleitoral negro após decisão - 11 / 05 / 2026 - Mundo
Source: folha.uol.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1442026-05-13 EVENT
Peru terá 2º turno entre Keiko e ex - ministro de Castillo - 12 / 05 / 2026 - Mundo
Source: folha.uol.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1442026-05-13 EVENT
Peru pode ter 2º turno com Keiko e ex - ministro de Castillo - 12 / 05 / 2026 - Mundo
Source: folha.uol.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1442026-05-13 EVENT
A nova epidemia de loucura da extrema direita bolsonarista
Source: brasil247.com. Language: Portuguese.
J-1442026-05-13 EVENT
Valdemar Costa Neto diz que vê Nunes Marques mais aberto a voto impresso
Source: jc.uol.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1442026-05-13 EVENT
O futuro da nossa democracia não será delineado por máquinas , afirma Nunes Marques
Source: brasil247.com. Language: Portuguese.
J-1442026-05-13 EVENT
Quaest põe Lula à frente de Flávio Bolsonaro nos dois turnos
Source: brasil247.com. Language: Portuguese.
J-1442026-05-13 EVENT
Guia das Eleies 2026 : veja datas , ordem de votao e o que muda
Source: diariogaucho.clicrbs.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1442026-05-13 EVENT
TSE faz novos testes de segurança na urna eletrônica
Source: tribunadonorte.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1442026-05-13 EVENT
Quaest divulga pesquisa de intenes de voto para presidente
Source: gazetadopovo.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1432026-05-14 EVENT
Novo presidente do TSE , Nunes Marques se reúne com chefes de tribunais regionais no fim do mês
Source: noticias.r7.com. Language: Portuguese.
J-1432026-05-14 EVENT
Cabo Deyvison acionará TSE para conseguir desfiliao por justa causa
Source: tribunadonorte.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1432026-05-14 EVENT
Média das pesquisas : Lula e Flávio empatam no 2º turno
Source: mais.opovo.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
BASELINEJ-90
CAMPAIGNJ-30
FINAL WEEKJ-7
VOTE DAYJ-0
POST-VOTEJ+7

SOURCES WEAPONIZED

1
LCP Public Senat
unknowninstitutional20
2
Le Monde
unknownmainstream_media16
3
BFMTV
unknownmainstream_media16
4
Wisconsin Watch
unknowninvestigation12
5
RedFish Media
russiastate_media11
6
Sud Radio
unknownmainstream_media11
7
South China MP
chinastate_media9
8
Salon Politics
unknownmainstream_media9
9
IFRI
unknownresearch9
10
The Hill
unknownmainstream_media8

CANDIDATES

Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva

Candidateleft

president of Brazil from 2003 to 2011 and since 2023

63 mentions · 1m
Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

Candidatefar right

38th President of the Federative Republic of Brazil from 2019 to 2023, Captain of the Brazilian Army, Federal Deputy of Brazil (1991–2019) and Councilman of the City of Rio de Janeiro (1989–1991)

43 mentions · 1m
Guilherme Boulos

Guilherme Boulos

Candidateleft

Far-left political activist, Federal Deputy of Brazil since 2023

1 mentions · 1m
Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

Candidateright

Brazilian engineer, minister of Brazil Infrastructure, governor of São Paulo

No recent mentions

PARTIES & COALITIONS

P

Partido dos Trabalhadores

Partyleft

political party in Guinea-Bissau

4 mentions · 1m
P

Partido Liberal

Partyfar right

conservative political party in Brazil

1 mentions · 1m

MEDIA AMPLIFIERS

Globo

Globo

Affiliated mediacenter

Brazilian commercial television network

1 mentions · 1m
J

Jovem Pan

Affiliated mediaright

Brazilian radio network in format top 40/CHR/all news

No recent mentions

REGULATORY INSTITUTIONS

STFTSE
Brazil General Elections 2026 | DisInfo Monitor