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Brazil General Elections 2026

📅 2026-10-04 · J+6UPCOMING⚠ PRIORITY 5 — CRITICAL

WHAT'S AT STAKE

Brazilian general elections.

862
ITEMS DETECTED
0
PUBLISHED SIGNALS
30
EVENTS
10
ACTORS TRACKED

VELOCITY TRACKER

WAR ROOM
STATE
75.4
INTENSITY SCORE
2.83→
VELOCITY RATIO
190
ITEMS 7D
VELOCITY (HISTORY)
10-03ratio = vol_7d / (vol_30d / 4.3)10-10
INTENSITY SCORE (HISTORY)
10-030–10010-10
5-COMPONENT BREAKDOWN
Volume (15%)
91%
Velocity (30%)
71%
Coordination (30%)
67%
Amplifiers (15%)
72%
Alerts (10%)
95%
Networks 7d:5Amplif. 7d:2Weighted alerts:4.0

THREAT BRIEF

0
THREAT SCORE

DOMINANT NARRATIVES

Narratives will appear here once signals are published. Check back in 30 days.

📄 EXPORT BRIEF

RECENT ITEMS (100 of 862)

Brésil, le troisiÚme homme ferme la porte à Lula et confie ses voix à la succession Bolsonaro
France-Soir · 10h
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Brazil: Flavio Bolsonaro Ahead of Socialist Lula in First Pre-Runoff Polls
Breitbart · 15h
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Oberster Gerichtshof erlÀsst Haftbefehl gegen Eduardo Bolsonaro
Corona-Transition · 19h
source →
OUTRAGEOUS! Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes Issues ARREST WARRANT for Eduardo Bolsonaro as His Brother Emerges as Favorite to Become Brazil’s Next President
Gateway Pundit · 20h
source →
Benyamin Netanyahou a invité Flavio Bolsonaro en Israël
Le Figaro · 21h
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Brazilian Supreme Court Justice issues an arrest order for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Revolver News · 21h
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Netanyahu invites Brazil's FlĂĄvio Bolsonaro to visit Israel
Arutz Sheva · 22h
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Brezilya YĂŒksek Mahkemesi, devlet baßkanı adayı Bolsonaro'nun kardeßi Eduardo hakkında tutuklama kararı çıkardı
Sputnik Turkiye · 23h
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Brazilian Supreme Court judge issues arrest warrant for Eduardo Bolsonaro
Al Jazeera · 1d
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Brazil: Bolsonaro wins backing from third-place finisher in first round
Arutz Sheva · 1d
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Au Brésil, Flavio Bolsonaro obtient le soutien du candidat arrivé 3e au premier tour de la présidentielle
Le Temps · 1d
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Un avantage décisif ? Jair Bolsonaro obtient le soutien du candidat arrivé 3e lors du premier tour, Lula ne se décourage pas
Le Parisien · 1d
source →
Brazilian judge issues arrest warrant for Eduardo Bolsonaro, brother of a presidential candidate
Arab News (SA) · 1d
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Third-place finisher in Brazil election endorses Flavio Bolsonaro for runoff against Lula
Arab News (SA) · 1d
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Lula vs. Bolsonaro in Brazil's Presidential Election
Black Agenda Report · 1d
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Brazil’s Moraes issues arrest warrant for Eduardo Bolsonaro, orders immediate start of his prison sentence
Anadolu Agency · 1d
source →
The Bolsonaro Era. Neoliberalism at the Forefront
RedFish Media · 1d
source →
Fact Check: Video Does NOT Show FlĂĄvio Bolsonaro Telling A Masonic Lodge He Would Give Brazil To 'Greater Israel' And Satan
Lead Stories · 2d
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Lula Is in Danger of Losing Brazil’s Presidency
Jacobin · 2d
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Lula da Silva face à Flåvio Bolsonaro... Comment se profile le second tour de la présidentielle brésilienne ?
Europe 1 · 2d
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During Final Stretch, Greenwald Tells the Outside World That Elections Were Manipulated for Lula
Orinoco Tribune · 2d
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Under Trump Pressure, Bolivia Arrests Its Own Attorney General
Jacobin Mag · 2d
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If Lula loses, BRICS could face its biggest political test yet
RT · 2d
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Influenceurs, évangéliques, agrobusiness: revue des troupes bolsonaristes au CongrÚs brésilien
Mediapart · 2d
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The Fall of Brazil’s Tyrannical Judge May Be Imminent: Moraes and His Sleaze Are Exposed
Glenn Greenwald · 2d
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Des milliers de manifestants dans les rues de Rio pour rejeter Flavio Bolsonaro avant le second tour au Brésil
Le Temps · 2d
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Mark Carney Isn’t the “Leader of the Free World.” Lula Is.
Jacobin · 3d
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Brésil: ces influenceurs obtiennent un score historique aux élections législatives
BFMTV · 3d
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Les enjeux des élections brésiliennes
IRIS · 3d
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Présidentielle au Brésil: «Je vote Flåvio Bolsonaro pour voir si ça change quelque chose»
Tribune de Geneve · 3d
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Segundo turno no Brasil: que fatores levarĂŁo Ă  vitĂłria eleitoral?
Strategic Culture Foundation · 3d
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Brazil on the brink: Why Lula is down against Bolsonaro Jr.
Strategic Culture Foundation · 3d
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Hate to Burst Your Bubble, but USAID Didn't Cause the Rightward Swing in Latin America
PJ Media · 3d
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Lula seeks shake-up and Flávio Bolsonaro reaches for more support ahead of Brazil’s election runoff

Revolver News · 4d
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Les cadeaux électoraux ne font pas gagner les élections 
Contrepoints · 4d
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The Bolsonaros Are Bouncing Back in Brazil as Latin America Swings Right. Here’s Why:
National Pulse · 4d
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Brésil : chez les Bolsonaro, la politique est une affaire de famille
Le Monde · 4d
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US Meddling in Brazil May Decide Latin America’s Future
Jacobin · 4d
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Why has Brazil accused the US of election interference?
BBC US Canada · 4d
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PrĂ©sidentielle au BrĂ©sil : « La campagne de Lula a tardĂ© Ă  assumer le dĂ©sir de changement de l’électorat »
LObs · 4d
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Lula da Silva and FlĂĄvio Bolsonaro Head to Runoff in Brazil
Orinoco Tribune · 4d
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Ce modĂšle prĂ©dictif annonçait le premier tour de la prĂ©sidentielle brĂ©silienne et voilĂ  ce qu’il dit pour le second
Atlantico · 4d
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Au BrĂ©sil, les scandales n’ont pas contrariĂ© l’ascension politique de Flavio Bolsonaro
Le Monde · 4d
source →
Brazil election: Lula to face Bolsonaro in runoff
Al Jazeera EN (YouTube) · 4d
source →
Who is responsible for the rise of FlĂĄvio Bolsonaro and the far right in Brazil?
WSWS · 4d
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America Cut Off USAID, and Elections in Latin America Look Very Different Now
Townhall · 5d
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Fact Check: REAL Screenshots Show Trump Confused Brazil And India In Post About Presidential Elections
Lead Stories · 5d
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Flavio Bolsonaro Celebrates First Round Win: 'Just a Few Days Left Until We Rescue Brazil!'
Breitbart · 5d
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Trump-favoured Flavio Bolsonaro stuns Lula in Brazil election: What happens next?
Geo News EN · 5d
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Au BrĂ©sil, FlĂĄvio Bolsonaro cherche Ă  lisser son image, alors que les succĂšs de Lula tombent dans l’oubli
Le Temps · 5d
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PORTRAIT - Brésil : qui est Flavio Bolsonaro, le fils de l'ancien président Jair Bolsonaro en position de force à la présidentielle ?
Europe 1 · 5d
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Lula Is in Danger of Losing Brazil’s Presidency
Jacobin · 5d
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Brazil Set To Be Next Domino in Latin America's MAGA Turn
RealClearPolitics · 5d
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PORTRAIT - Brésil : qui est Flavio Bolsonaro, le fils de l'ancien président Jair Bolsonaro en position de force pour la présidentielle ?
Europe 1 · 5d
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The Stakes Are High in Brazil’s Upcoming Election
Jacobin · 5d
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Bolsonaro gegen Lula Brasiliens Rechtsruck folgt einem Trend
Junge Freiheit · 5d
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The Bolsonaro Era. Neoliberalism at the Forefront
RedFish Media · 5d
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Élections au BrĂ©sil: «Le clan Bolsonaro est une entreprise familiale qui fonctionne bien»
RFI Afrique · 5d
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Lula dos au mur aprĂšs le premier tour
Le Courrier · 5d
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Trump points to Brazilian election to condemn American ballot counting
Just The News · 5d
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Qui est Flavio Bolsonaro, l'héritier sulfureux qui a pris Lula de vitesse ?
Sud Radio · 5d
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Lula vs. Bolsonaro (Again): Brazil's Presidential Race Goes to Runoff as Right Wing Makes Gains
Democracy Now (YT) · 5d
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BrĂ©sil : Bolsonaro 47 %, Lula 45 %, un second tour sous haute tensionFlĂĄvio Bolsonaro est arrivĂ© en tĂȘte du premier tour...
RT France Telegram · 5d
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Make Brazil Great Again: Bolsonaro Tops Lula
Red State · 5d
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Brasilien: Stichwahl zwischen Lula und Bolsonaro
Tichy Einblick · 5d
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Présidentielle au Brésil : Flavio Bolsonaro aux portes du pouvoir
Valeurs Actuelles · 5d
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Brésil : à la présidentielle, le fils Bolsonaro crée la surprise face à Lula
Boulevard Voltaire · 5d
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Brésil : Bolsonaro 47 %, Lula 45 %, un second tour sous haute tension
RT (French) · 5d
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‘Trump Of The Tropics’ Family Shocks The Left In Major Elections
Daily Wire · 5d
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Au BrĂ©sil, le candidat d'extrĂȘme droite Flavio Bolsonaro crĂ©e la surprise et devance Lula au premier tour de la prĂ©sidentielle
France Info TV · 5d
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Stichwahl gegen FlĂĄvio Bolsonaro: Lula da Silva hat sich diese Niederlage selbst zuzuschreiben
Tages-Anzeiger · 5d
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Brazil-China ties in focus as Bolsonaro gets election edge over Lula
South China MP · 5d
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Stichwahl in Brasilien: Diese Niederlage hat sich PrÀsident Lula da Silva selbst zuzuschreiben
Tages-Anzeiger · 5d
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Présidentielle: Bolsonaro devance Lula
Le Courrier · 5d
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đŸ‡§đŸ‡· FlĂĄvio Bolsonaro et Lula da Silva se sont qualifiĂ©s pour le second tour de l'Ă©lection prĂ©sidentielle au #BrĂ©sil, a ...
RT France Telegram · 5d
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PrÀsidentschaftswahl Wahlsensation in Brasilien: Bolsonaro schlÀgt Lula
Junge Freiheit · 5d
source →
Brezilya devlet baßkanlığı seçimi ikinci tura kaldı
Sputnik Turkiye · 5d
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Meglepetést okozott a vålasztåsi eredmény Brazíliåban: Flavio Bolsonaro vezeti a versenyt
Magyar Nemzet · 5d
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Au premier tour des Ă©lections au BrĂ©sil, le sĂ©nateur Flavio Bolsonaro est arrivĂ© en tĂȘte devant le prĂ©sident Lula
France Culture · 5d
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Au BrĂ©sil, FlĂĄvio Bolsonaro et Lula s’affronteront dans un second tour aux lourds enjeux
Le Temps · 5d
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Présidentielle au Brésil: Lula en mauvaise posture face au fils Bolsonaro
Mediapart · 5d
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PrĂ€sidentschaftswahl in Brasilien: «Ich war ĂŒberzeugt, dass ich gewinnen wĂŒrde», sagt Lula da Silva, doch nun gilt FlĂĄvio Bolsonaro als Favorit
Tages-Anzeiger · 5d
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BrĂ©sil : Flavio Bolsonaro arrive en tĂȘte du premier tour et affrontera Lula au second
Anadolu Agency FR · 5d
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Bolsonaro beats expectations in Brazil vote, faces Lula in runoff | AJ #shorts
Al Jazeera EN (YouTube) · 5d
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Brazil election: President Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro advance to run-off
Al Jazeera EN (YouTube) · 5d
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Le sĂ©nateur brĂ©silien Flavio Bolsonaro est arrivĂ© en tĂȘte devant le prĂ©sident Lula
France Culture · 5d
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« Lula a payĂ© le prix du mĂ©contentement des Ă©lecteurs » : au BrĂ©sil, Flavio Bolsonaro en tĂȘte au premier tour de l’élection prĂ©sidentielle
Le Monde · 5d
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Présidentielle au Brésil : Flavio Bolsonaro fait mentir les sondages
Le Salon Beige · 5d
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Bolsonaro beats expectations in Brazil vote, faces Lula in runoff
Al Jazeera · 5d
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Élection au BrĂ©sil : Flavio Bolsonaro devance Lula et l'affrontera au second tour
Europe 1 · 5d
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« Lula a payĂ© le prix du mĂ©contentement des Ă©lecteurs » : au BrĂ©sil, Flavio Bolsonaro devance Lula au premier tour de l’élection prĂ©sidentielle
Le Monde · 5d
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2 Brésil s'affrontent
BFMTV · 5d
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Au BrĂ©sil, le clan des Bolsonaro prend la tĂȘte de l'Ă©lection prĂ©sidentielle au premier tour
France Inter · 5d
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Stichwahl in Brasilien – Lula oder Bolsonaro? Ein Land, zwei Lager, eine offene Stichwahl
SRF News · 5d
source →
Présidentielle au Brésil : Flavio Bolsonaro crée la surprise en devançant Lula au premier tour
Le Figaro · 5d
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Au BrĂ©sil, Flavio Bolsonaro et Lula s’affronteront dans un second tour aux lourds enjeux
Le Temps · 5d
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Brésil: le sénateur conservateur Flavio Bolsonaro, fils de Jair Bolsonaro, crée la surprise en devançant Lula au premier tour de la présidentielle
BFMTV · 5d
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Un résultat "inattendu" au premier tour de l'élection présidentielle au Brésil, Flåvio Bolsonaro devance Lula dans un pays profondément polarisé
BFMTV · 5d
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Présidentielle au Brésil : le conservateur Flavio Bolsonaro crée la surprise et devance Lula au premier tour
France Info TV · 5d
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Bolsonaro Overperforms to Reach Round 2 of Brazil Presidential Election Against Incumbent Socialist Lula
Breitbart · 5d
source →

TIMELINE J-N

J-1122026-06-14‱ EVENT
Fortes distĂșrbios em protesto em Genebra contra cĂșpula do G7 na França
Source: em.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1112026-06-15‱ EVENT
Nexus / BTG : Lula venceria FlĂĄvio Bolsonaro por 49 % a 43 % no 2Âș turno
Source: correiobraziliense.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1112026-06-15‱ EVENT
Lula abre distĂąncia sobre FlĂĄvio Bolsonaro no primeiro e no segundo turno
Source: brasil247.com. Language: Portuguese.
J-1112026-06-15‱ EVENT
Nexus / BTG : Lula tem 41 % das intenes de voto no 1Âș turno , contra 32 % de FlĂĄvio Bolsonaro
Source: noticias.r7.com. Language: Portuguese.
J-1112026-06-15‱ EVENT
TV Fórum : Se não houver mobilizao popular , Alcolumbre não deve avançar com pauta da 6x1 , diz Berzoini
Source: revistaforum.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1112026-06-15‱ EVENT
Modelo americano de liberdade pode virar munio contra a Justiça Eleitoral nas eleies – CartaCapital
Source: cartacapital.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1102026-06-16‱ EVENT
Tecnologia e democracia : especialistas debatem segurança eleitoral
Source: g1.globo.com. Language: Portuguese.
J-1102026-06-16‱ EVENT
Esquerda diz que nĂŁo reconhecerĂĄ resultado das eleies no Peru
Source: gazetadopovo.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1102026-06-16‱ EVENT
Hervåzio destaca imprevisibilidade da disputa pelo Governo e cita possibilidade de avanço de Nabor e Vené
Source: pbagora.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1102026-06-16‱ EVENT
Confira os nĂșmeros da pesquisa da CNT para presidente
Source: gazetadopovo.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1102026-06-16‱ EVENT
LĂ©o Bezerra evita tratar sobre segundo voto para o Senado e adia debate polĂ­tico : SĂł depois do SĂŁo JoĂŁo – PB AGORA
Source: pbagora.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1102026-06-16‱ EVENT
Futura InteligĂȘncia divulga pesquisa para presidente
Source: gazetadopovo.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1102026-06-16‱ EVENT
Escala 6x1 : Governo retira urgĂȘncia e destrava pauta da CĂąmara
Source: g1.globo.com. Language: Portuguese.
J-1102026-06-16‱ EVENT
O nĂșmero da pesquisa Real Time Big Data em SP que trava disputa entre Lula e FlĂĄvio
Source: veja.abril.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1102026-06-16‱ EVENT
Com campanha aos cacos , Eduardo Bolsonaro fala em risco de assassinato do irmĂŁo FlĂĄvio
Source: revistaforum.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1102026-06-16‱ EVENT
TRE - AM orienta sobre os prĂłximos prazos do calendĂĄrio eleitoral 2026
Source: emtempo.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1092026-06-17‱ EVENT
Com anĂșncio de Pedro Paulo , estado do Rio tem profusĂŁo de candidatos ao Senado
Source: oglobo.globo.com. Language: Portuguese.
J-1092026-06-17‱ EVENT
A eleio estĂĄ ficando menos difĂ­cil para Lula ?
Source: estadao.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1092026-06-17‱ EVENT
TSE publica acórdão que confirma inelegibilidade de Castro e mantém posio sobre nova eleio no RJ
Source: estadao.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1082026-06-18‱ EVENT
Autoridades se reĂșnem para discutir segurança nas Eleies no AC
Source: g1.globo.com. Language: Portuguese.
J-1082026-06-18‱ EVENT
Eleies 2026 : abriu a boca do jacaré ?
Source: mais.opovo.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1082026-06-18‱ EVENT
Pesquisas : a novidade que pode favorecer Lula na disputa contra FlĂĄvio
Source: veja.abril.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1082026-06-18‱ EVENT
Atlas / Focus : Elmano tem preferĂȘncia entre as mulheres
Source: brasildefato.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1082026-06-18‱ EVENT
PossĂ­vel interferĂȘncia dos EUA nas eleies do Brasil Ă© uso polĂ­tico das plataformas digitai , diz cientista polĂ­tica
Source: brasildefato.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1082026-06-18‱ EVENT
Pesquisa mostra disputa aberta pelo PalĂĄcio do Buriti em 2026
Source: correiobraziliense.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1082026-06-18‱ EVENT
Atitude de Eduardo Bolsonaro causa problema polĂ­tico para a cĂșpula do PL
Source: veja.abril.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
J-1072026-06-19‱ EVENT
SĂĄnchez convoca protesto em respeito ao voto diante derrota parcial
Source: correiobraziliense.com.br. Language: Portuguese.
BASELINEJ-90
J-602026-08-05🔮 EVENT
Activity state: hot → war_room
Intensity score 70.7. Velocity ratio 1.82. 5 networks active.
J-562026-08-09‱ EVENT
Activity state: war_room → hot
Intensity score 64.8. Velocity ratio 1.66. 5 networks active.
CAMPAIGNJ-30
FINAL WEEKJ-7
VOTE DAYJ-0
J-02026-10-04🔮 EVENT
Activity state: hot → war_room
Intensity score 71.3. Velocity ratio 2.16. 5 networks active.
POST-VOTEJ+7

SOURCES WEAPONIZED

1
RedFish Media
russiastate_media59
2
Le Monde
unknownmainstream_media44
3
Jacobin
unknownmainstream_media43
4
RFI Afrique
independentaggregator29
5
BFMTV
unknownmainstream_media29
6
South China MP
chinastate_media27
7
Le Temps
unknownmainstream_media26
8
Le Figaro
unknownmainstream_media24
9
Al Jazeera
independentstate_media24
10
Breitbart
otherfringe_outlet21

CANDIDATES

Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva

Candidateleft

president of Brazil from 2003 to 2011 and since 2023

466 mentions · 14m
Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

Candidatefar right

38th President of the Federative Republic of Brazil from 2019 to 2023, Captain of the Brazilian Army, Federal Deputy of Brazil (1991–2019) and Councilman of the City of Rio de Janeiro (1989–1991)

462 mentions · 14m
Guilherme Boulos

Guilherme Boulos

Candidateleft

Far-left political activist, Federal Deputy of Brazil since 2023

3 mentions · 14m
Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

Candidateright

Brazilian engineer, minister of Brazil Infrastructure, governor of SĂŁo Paulo

1 mentions · 14m

PARTIES & COALITIONS

P

Partido dos Trabalhadores

Partyleft

political party in Guinea-Bissau

30 mentions · 14m
P

Partido Liberal

Partyfar right

conservative political party in Brazil

19 mentions · 14m

MEDIA AMPLIFIERS

Globo

Globo

Affiliated mediacenter

Brazilian commercial television network

9 mentions · 14m
J

Jovem Pan

Affiliated mediaright

Brazilian radio network in format top 40/CHR/all news

2 mentions · 14m

REGULATORY INSTITUTIONS

STFTSE
Brazil General Elections 2026 | DisInfo Monitor